Introduction to Arab Acceptance of Israel

In the midst of complex geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East, there is an emerging trend of Arab states accepting Israel. This shift is driven by several factors, including the increasing concern over the Iranian threat, economic benefits, and a need to move on from past conflicts. However, the nature of this acceptance varies, and its long-term impact remains to be seen.

Shift in Arab Leadership's Priorities

The primary reason for this acceptance is the growing recognition among Arab leaderships that the most immediate threat is Iran, rather than Israel. As one observer notes, 'Arab leaderships are more concerned with the Iranian threat than with Israel itself, which does not pose a direct threat.' This allows Arab states to focus on strategic alliances that can counteract the perceived Iranian threat, leading to an acceptance of Israel as part of this broader political and security equation.

Some Arab states, such as some Gulf countries, have begun to understand that hostility towards Israel is not productive and that real progress is more likely to be achieved through cooperation. For instance, weaker Arab states may see economic benefits in business trade deals and strategic military alliances with Israel. This shift is not just theoretical, but it also involves concrete actions such as cutting deals and enhancing trade with Arab countries that are not hostile to Israel.

The Nature of Acceptance

The acceptance of Israel is more nuanced than it may seem. While some Arab states are indeed moving towards a more amicable relationship with Israel, the level of acceptance varies. It is not always a public-facing decision but can be a strategic one that is more about political influence and economic benefits. For example, Gulf states may accept Israel for publicity purposes, but this does not translate to unrestricted visits for Israeli citizens or a fully open-border policy.

For instance, while Israeli citizens can visit some Gulf states, entry processes may still involve some level of scrutiny and reporting. In cases like visiting Jordan or Egypt, Israeli citizens are often required to declare their identity, and protective measures may still be necessary. This indicates that while there is a willingness to engage in economic and diplomatic relations, the underlying tension and historical mistrust still persist in some forms.

Geopolitical Dynamics and Economic Benefits

The shift towards acceptance of Israel is also driven by broader geopolitical dynamics, particularly the conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Both sides, including Israel, are part of a larger web of alliances and counteralliances. For Arab states, aligning with Israel can help in countering Iranian influence. This is evidenced by the common enemy theory, where mutual threats, such as Iran, necessitate cooperation.

Economically, the acceptance of Israel is driven by strategic positioning and the promise of economic benefits. One such example is the proposed oil pipeline that could connect the oil-rich countries of the Eastern Mediterranean, including Israel, to Europe, bypassing routes that are often controlled by or threatened by Iran. By aligning with Israel, Arab states can secure better and safer shipping routes for their oil, reducing costs and risks.

For Arab states, this is not just about potential economic gains but also about strategic positioning. By aligning with Israel, they can enhance their influence in the region and potentially form new trade partnerships. For Israel, this can lead to increased trade and diplomatic recognition, which can further solidify its position in the region.

Personal Reflection and Cultural Context

From a personal perspective, as a Lebanese citizen, I support the move towards peace but with certain conditions. The need to counter Iran's regional influence is critical, but it must be balanced with the rights of the Palestinian people. While moving on from past conflicts is necessary, achieving a two-state solution remains a crucial step. This would provide a sustainable and fair solution that benefits all parties involved.

Geographically, Lebanon's position between Syria and Israel makes it particularly vulnerable. The economic benefits of improved trade routes and potential infrastructure projects, such as the high-speed railway connecting Muscat to Tel Aviv and finally to Beirut, could significantly boost Lebanon's economy and enhance regional integration. This would also provide alternative routes for oil transport, reducing dependency on unstable areas.

In conclusion, the acceptance of Israel by some Arab states is a multifaceted and strategic decision that balances geopolitical imperatives, economic interests, and cultural and historical contexts. While there is progress, the long-term impact of this acceptance will depend on the ability to address underlying issues and build a sustainable and inclusive peace.