Introduction

What if most of Eritrea had become independent after the end of World War II and Ethiopia was allowed to keep and annex Assab? This hypothetical scenario raises intriguing questions about the potential trajectory of both regions and their relationships. Post-WWII, Eritrea, with its industrial manufacturing base and well-developed infrastructure, could have played a crucial role in shaping the future of the Horn of Africa. This piece explores the potential outcomes of such an outcome and its ramifications.

The Development of Eritrea: An Independent State

During the British trusteeship, Eritrea boasted the most advanced industrial manufacturing base in Africa. Its overall infrastructure development was impressive, setting the stage for a potentially democratic state with a multi-party system. Approximately 7 political parties existed, representing a diverse political landscape. However, these promising developments were crushed when Haile Selassie annexed Eritrea, dismantling any potential for peace and prosperity.

Assab and Its Importance

Assab, a strategic port town, played a significant role in Eritrea’s potential economic future. Under Ethiopian control, the infrastructure and strategic importance of Assab could have bolstered Ethiopia’s maritime capabilities and influenced regional dynamics. However, the context of the time, dominated by the interests of wartime victors, made such negotiations and agreements highly complex.

Independent Eritrea: A More Advanced State

Speculating about alternate historical scenarios, if Eritrea remained independent, it would likely have advanced more than its neighbors in various aspects. This is due to the potential free development of political and economic resources without the constraints and exploitations brought by annexation. The absence of Haile Selassie’s rule would have allowed for the full realization of Eritrea’s potential for democracy and industrial growth.

Principles and Morality in Decision-Making

In today’s geopolitical context, the principles of fair negotiations and respect for sovereignty matter more than ever. Giving up land and resources based on the whims of a victorious but unaccountable ruling figure is not a sustainable or ethical approach. The independence and stability of Eritrea and its neighbors are more likely to be achieved through mutual respect and cooperation, rather than historical grievances and conflict.

Conclusion

The hypothetical scenario of independent Eritrea and a consensual annexation of Assab by Ethiopia opens up a vision of a more equitable and prosperous region. It highlights the importance of fair, principled, and ethical decision-making in international relations. The future of the Horn of Africa could be reshaped by the decisions made today, influenced by the lessons learned from its past.