Is Azerbaijan’s Support for Israel against Iran a Rational Choice in the Light of Coexistence and Interests?
The relationship between Azerbaijan and Iran has long been characterized by complexity and tension, with both countries belonging to different religious and geopolitical spheres. Despite having a predominantly Shia population, Azerbaijan maintains strong ties with Israel while its neighbor Iran is predominantly Muslim. This article explores the rationale behind these geopolitical alliances and whether they align with the principles of coexistence and interests.
The Role of Religion in Geopolitical Alliances
One common narrative is that religion plays a significant role in shaping geopolitical alliances. However, a close examination reveals that the situation in Azerbaijan and Iran is neither straightforward nor entirely influenced by religious affiliations.
Religion, while an important aspect of national identity, is often not the primary driver of actions in international politics. States often act in their best interests, taking into account strategic, economic, and security considerations beyond religious identity.
Geopolitical Alliances and Interests
Many scholars argue that the choice of allies in international relations is driven more by pragmatic considerations such as economic benefits and strategic interests. In the case of Azerbaijan, its alliance with Israel can be understood as a strategic move to align with a powerful ally that shares similar geopolitical concerns.
Azerbaijan’s Strategic Alliance with Israel:
Israel’s military and technological capabilities can be beneficial for Azerbaijan in regional conflicts. Azerbaijan benefits from Israel’s support in its oil and gas sector, particularly through modern technologies and business opportunities. The alliance might also serve as a counterbalance to Iran’s influence in the region.Impact on Iran:
Iran might perceive Azerbaijan’s support for Israel as a threat to its regional interests. The warmth of Azerbaijan’s relations with Israel might also strain its ties with Turkey, another critical ally.The Game of Chess: Iran vs. Azerbaijan
The analogy of a game of chess aptly captures the strategic nature of the relationship between Iran and Azerbaijan. Both sides maneuver to gain advantages, sometimes at the expense of their long-term coexistence.
On one hand, the supreme leader of Iran, while an Azeri by ethnicity, might not prioritize Azarpadegan interests as a means to consolidate power and maintain sovereignty. Similarly, the Azeri elite may support Israel to secure their interests and protect Azerbaijan’s sovereignty from encroachment.
Towards a Democratic Iran without Mullahs
Proponents of a unified Iran under a democratic government argue that such a scenario could restore the historical unity of the region and promote coexistence. However, the path to achieving this is fraught with challenges, including the vested interests of various political factions and the complexities of ethno-religious identities.
Future Prospects:
While the future is uncertain, a more pragmatic approach to regional relations might lead to more favorable outcomes for all parties involved. Encouraging dialogue and cooperation instead of mutual suspicion could pave the way for a more harmonious and peaceful future in the region.
Conclusion
The relationship between Azerbaijan and Iran is a complex interplay of historical, religious, and economic factors. While religion can influence international relations, the primary drivers are often strategic and economic interests. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for fostering a more peaceful and cooperative future in a region marked by longstanding tensions.
Keywords: Azerbaijan, Iran, Israel, Shia, Sunni, geopolitical alliances