The Feasibility and Impact of Transferring Asylum Seekers to Rwanda

Understanding the Feasibility and Impact of Transferring Asylum Seekers to Rwanda

The recent discussions surrounding the relocation of asylum seekers, particularly those arriving in small boats, to Rwanda have sparked a heated debate among policymakers and the public alike. This piece aims to explore the potential success of such a plan in deterring further illegal immigration to the United Kingdom.

Historical Context and Insights

It is important to consider the historical context of such migrations. For instance, the attempt to deter Albanian economic migrants through the introduction of immigration policies has proven largely ineffective. As stated, "[It] wouldn't have affected the attitudes of the Albanian economic migrants who came here to sell drugs and run prostitution rackets..." (Source).

Similarly, the Vietnamese case also highlights the unrelenting nature of those involved in human trafficking. These individuals are more concerned with their financial gain, whether through the transportation of people or subsequent exploitation, than the potential deportation risks.

The reality is that not every individual who climbs aboard an inflatable boat is a true asylum seeker. Many are economic migrants, devoid of genuine asylum intentions unless encountered by authorities. Hence, any threat of deportation to Rwanda, no matter how small, seems unlikely to deter individuals who have already risked their lives to reach Britain. The potential for tragedy during transport, such as capsizing or drowning, should be a more significant deterrent.

Economic Migrants vs. Asylum Seekers

It is crucial to differentiate between economic migrants and genuine asylum seekers. The majority of those arriving in small boats fall into the former category. Economic migrants, although often working illegally, have no intention of applying for asylum unless apprehended. This distinction highlights the inefficacy of deportation threats, given that the majority of these individuals are not actually fleeing persecution or seeking protection.

The message, “there are far too many coming to the UK, we don’t want you, the UK is full so piss off and don’t come back,” resonates with many. However, for those who have risked their lives and been willing to take such a chance, the threat of being sent to Rwanda seems minimal compared to the dangers they are facing back home.

The Policy’s Detrimental Nature

The proposed scheme to transfer a small number of immigrants to Rwanda at great expense lacks practical deterrent features. The belief that it could significantly reduce the number of asylum seekers arriving in the UK is, from a policy standpoint, unrealistic. Inevitably, the UK government, be it Labour or Conservative, will face public and economic pressures to abandon such a costly and ineffective scheme.

A more practical approach might involve implementing stricter border controls and enhancing collaboration with countries of origin to address the root causes of migration, namely poverty and political instability. Until these underlying issues are resolved, the influx of migrants is likely to continue, potentially shifting the flow of migration to less visible and controlled routes.

Conclusion: A Political Ponzi Scheme or a Realistic Solution?

While the proposal to relocate some asylum seekers to Rwanda might be seen as a politically motivated gimmick, it lacks the realism to genuinely impact the scale of migration. As the situation remains fluid, it is difficult to predict the exact outcomes. However, it is likely that the intended solution will face significant opposition and scrutiny. The UK government's approach should focus on more effective and humane solutions to address the root causes of migration, rather than relying on costly and impractical schemes.

For now, it appears that the UK will view the scheme as another failed Tory stunt with little to no real deterrence. As such, the future of this initiative is uncertain, with both Labour and Conservative governments in the unlikely event of retaining office, likely to scrap it due to the escalating costs.

Given the challenges and complexities of the issue, a more comprehensive and sustainable solution is needed. Addressing the systemic issues in countries of origin could be a step towards reducing the number of migrants, making schemes like this one a thing of the past.