The 2020 Arizona Election: The Likelihood of Trump Winning Maricopa County
The current voter count is pointing towards a win for Joe Biden in Arizona. With Joe Biden leading in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia, the probability of him winning these states is high. Provisionary ballots and military absentee ballots are still being counted, and while provisional ballots may take longer, it appears that Biden is likely to secure a win, especially in Arizona.
As of 3:11 AM Eastern time, there are about 173,000 outstanding ballots statewide, with approximately 92,000 in Maricopa County. The election count is still ongoing, and each new ballot could potentially change the outcome.
Implications of Joe Biden Winning Pennsylvania
Should Joe Biden win Pennsylvania, his path to victory becomes clearer, as he would surpass the necessary 270 electoral votes to become the President-elect. Conversely, with the state of Alaska already in his favor, and North Carolina firmly with Trump, the race in Arizona is crucial.
The Pandemic and Public Perception
The debate over President Trump's handling of the pandemic is multifaceted. Many voters believe that the President mishandled the situation. Some, like myself, believe he addressed the crisis in an adequate manner, given his background and experience.
For those in Maricopa County, healthcare and safety were undoubtedly paramount concerns. Despite not being a science guy, President Trump took a multifaceted approach to the pandemic, focusing on economic recovery and public health measures.
Arizona's Demographics and Voter Preferences
Arizona's demographics play a significant role in the election. As of 2018, approximately 17.7% of the state's population is aged 65 and above, and this number has been steadily increasing. This trend is similar to other states with aging populations, such as Florida and Pennsylvania. The elderly demographic often forms a critical voting bloc, which can sway the results dramatically.
Furthermore, Maricopa County, with its high population, is a pivotal county in the state. With a growing elderly populace and shifting political preferences, the dynamics of Maricopa County could be the tipping point for Arizona.
It is important to note that President Trump had set a long-term plan for his presidency, which included specific objectives. The pandemic, while devastating, was not part of his original goals. However, it has become a significant issue that voters are weighing in their decisions.
Joe Biden's Lead in Arizona
As of August 8, 2020, Joe Biden is ahead in Arizona polls by a margin of 3.6%. This lead has been consistent since around March 10th, 2020. Arizona's election polls reflect a shift in voter sentiment towards Biden, partly due to his stance on key issues like Social Security and Medicare. Biden's recent statement on eliminating these programs has resonated with voters, particularly the older demographic in Maricopa County.
The election results are still evolving, and each new day brings new developments. It is crucial for voters to stay informed and engaged in the process.
Conclusion
The 2020 election in Arizona, particularly in Maricopa County, is a critical battleground. With Joe Biden leading in key states and provisional ballots still being counted, the election remains a close and dynamic race. Maricopa County's demographics and voter preferences make it a key area to watch, and the outcome could significantly impact the national election results.
As the saying goes, vote early and vote often. The future of America is in our hands.