Will the 2015 Flood Repeat in Chennai in 2021?
The question of whether the catastrophic 2015 flood in Chennai will repeat in 2021 is a pressing concern for both the residents and policymakers of Tamil Nadu. The 2015 flood, which caused significant damage, left many questions unanswered regarding preparedness and flood prevention measures. As we approach monsoon season in 2021, the weather forecasts are causing worry, but there is hope that lessons learned from past events can mitigate the potential risks.
Disappearance of Funds and Unplanned Growth
Despite the Union government allocating 900 crores for flood prevention work post-2015, the funds seem to have mysteriously disappeared. This lack of investment exacerbates the issue, as the real estate mafia continues to build in flood-prone areas. Unplanned and unregulated growth has become rampant, further increasing the vulnerability of the region.
Current Situations and Concerns
As heavy rains continue, the current road flooding in low-lying areas of Chennai highlights the ongoing challenges. Educational institutions are also at risk, with many asking staff to be prepared for potential closures. Power cuts and water shortages are already being experienced, underscoring the need for immediate action.
Weather Forecast and the Role of El Ni?o and MJO
KK Sam, a renowned weather expert, provides insight into the weather patterns and potential for flooding. Unlike the 2015 flood, which was influenced by El Ni?o, the current situation is different. Instead, only the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is present, indicating that the rains are likely to be less intense and widespread. This weather phenomenon is crucial in determining the intensity and distribution of rainfall.
The MJO contributes to shifts in weather patterns and can affect rainfall in different parts of the world. However, unlike the heavy deluge of 2015, the current scenario suggests that intense rainfall might not occur in the same manner. Furthermore, the already dry ground in Chennai means that excess water can percolate into the soil more easily, reducing the risk of flooding. This bodes well for the region's safety this year.
Potential Risks and Preparedness
While the intense flooding of 2015 is unlikely to repeat, there are still potential risks, especially given current weather conditions. Coastal Tamil Nadu is likely to experience good-intensity rains until mid-December. Cyclones also remain a possibility in November, further emphasizing the need for continued monitoring and preparedness.
Conclusion and Final Thoughts
Despite the current concerns, the situation in Chennai is far from hopeless. The presence of the MJO and the improved understanding of weather patterns should provide some relief. However, the community and authorities must remain vigilant and prepared for any unexpected events. Prayers and communal efforts can play a significant role in ensuring the safety and well-being of everyone in the region.
For more updates and weather-related queries specific to Chennai and Tamil Nadu, feel free to leave comments below. We will continue to share the latest information to keep everyone informed.
Stay updated and stay safe.